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Wednesday, 18 November 2015

The War to end all Wars


THE WAR TO END ALL WARS

JACO KLEYN

In August of 1914 a British writer by the name of H.G. Wells publishes as collections of articles under the title The War that will end War. The war he refers to non-other off course than WWI. In this articles he blames the so called Central Powers for the war and put it to them that the only way to stop the war is to actually ‘wipe out’ Germany’s military might. The then US president, Woodrow Wilson, later uses the same words as Wells’ title and put it to the US Congress that America needs to get involved in the war effort because the war (WWI) will be the war to end all wars. He goes further in the same address and put it that it is necessary to go to war because only by taking part in this war will they (the US) be able to make the world ‘safe for democracy’. Words that will echo through the decades after the war and be used by not only one but about every US president since. Adding an ironic twist to the famous words was Field Marshall Earl Wavell during the Paris Peace Conference when he said “The war that was supposed to stop all wars now gave way to the peace that will stop all peace.”

That was then, what if anything does it have to do with where the world finds itself today, a hundred and two years after the famous words were first seen in print? Everything. Today the 17th of November 2015 the world had had a change to take in breath again after the attacks by Islamic Extremist on so called soft targets in Paris France. More than a hundred people dead in less than a hundred minutes. And we, the people of the world, after waking up on Saturday morning hearing the news, after changing our Facebook profile pictures to the colours of the French flag, after everything else we do when confronted by news of this nature, we now still sit down to CNN, BBC, SKY News and all the rest and listen to presidents saying this will be the war to end all wars.

Have we ever heard one of this leaders telling their parliaments and congresses exactly what led to Islamic Extremist? Have any of the leaders ever come forward to tell their voters about the secret deals with rebel forces? About the millions of dollars paid out to people like Osama bin Laden, Saddam Hussein, Reza Shah and many others? Probably not. How can they do that? How can an American President tell the American public that they have spent millions (if not billions) of dollars on characters that they later had to spend even more billions on to make them go away. Not to even mention the countless loss of American and other lives in the process. The region is aflame and U.S. policy bears much of the blame.  Washington’s relentless attempt to reorder and reshape complex peoples, distant places, and volatile disputes has backfired spectacularly.  America has caused manifold problems while proving unable to solve any of them. The Forbes reporter Doug Bandow nails it on the 16th of June 2014 by stating; “Washington helped make the mess in Iraq and elsewhere. The US must stop trying to dominate and micro-manage the world.” But surely the American presence in the Middle East cannot be seen as all bad, some people will say. Granted, they did to a certain extend “protect” the flow of oil to the Western World, but the question remains; at what cost to the rest of humanity? We have seen and heard lies about so called weapons of mass destruction, we have heard Washington telling us that Saddam Hussein is the pinnacle of all that is evil and with his demise from power the Middle East and Iraq will be a new born democracy. Their claim that keeping U.S. troops in Iraq and elsewhere would have prevented that nation’s current implosion ignores both history and experience.  The bitter divisions among Shia, Sunnis, and Kurds reflect the country’s artificial creation; the U.S. invasion wrecked the national state, setting the stage for a bitter sectarian struggle. A sectarian struggle that did not stay in Iraq but poured fuel on jiaddist all through the region.

The simple fact remains, fighting and killing more foreigners in another people’s conflict would make more enemies of America and all her allies, threatening more terrorist blowback. The Syrian civil war and the rise of ISIS in the region is a good point to confirm this. The civil war is destabilizing the region, but American or any other involvement would not impose order.  Boots on the ground is inconceivable.  Tepid action—no fly zones and increased arms shipments—would be more likely to prolong the conflict than deliver a decisive result.  Moreover, Assad’s ouster likely would trigger a second round of killing directed against regime supporters, such as Alawites and other religious minorities. What must also be remembered in the Syrian scenario is that the al-Assad regime to a certain extend rely on ISIS to fight the war for him. There has been numerous reports of Syrian military officials seen to be operating with and in cahoots with ISIS fighters.  Reports to this extend has go as far as to say that Syrian fighter planes has laid waste to areas just before ISIS moved in.                                                                                                                                    

Up and until now weapons have been pouring in to assist Syrian rebels against al-Bassad and ISIS. At a conference in Paris in 2012, Western and Sunni Arab countries announced they were going to "massively increase" aid to the Syrian opposition. On 19 September 2013, French President François Hollande hinted that France was ready to begin supplying lethal aid to the Free Syrian Army. The Financial Times reported that Qatar had funded the Syrian rebellion by "as much as $3 billion" over the first two years of the civil war. In July 2012, Switzerland ceased arms exports to the UAE after it emerged Swiss weapons were finding their way to opposition fighters. In June 2012, the Central Intelligence Agency was reported to be involved in covert operations along the Turkish-Syrian border, where agents investigated rebel groups, recommending arms providers which groups to give aid to. Agents also helped opposition forces develop supply routes, and provided them with communications training. CIA operatives distributed assault rifles, anti-tank rocket launchers and other ammunition to Syrian opposition. The State Department has reportedly allocated $15 million for civilian opposition groups in Syria. In December 2013, The United States suspended the shipments of nonlethal military aid including food rations, medical kits and pickup trucks after warehouses of equipment were seized by the Islamic Front. On 24 December 2014, a Jordanian fighter jet was shot down over Syria and its pilot, Jordanian air force lieutenant Muath Al-Kasasbeh, captured. This pilot was executed by burning in January 2015 and was later used to attempt to recover jailed terrorists. Jordan offered to make the exchange, but demanded "proof of life" first, this wasn't done, and the video of the pilot's execution was released. In May 2015, The Independent reported that Saudi Arabia and Turkey "are focusing their backing for the Syrian rebels on the combined Jaish al-Fatah, or the Army of Conquest". The Army of Conquest reportedly includes an Al-Qaeda-linked Al-Nusra Front, which had been declared a terrorist organisation by the United States.

The reports on insecure weapon allocations to fighters in especially Syria can go on for many more pages. The cruel fact is that nobody giving weapons to these fighters can know who will end up using them and against whom they will be used. The assumption that Washington, London, Paris, Moscow and whoever else could get just the right arms to just the right opposition forces to ensure emergence of just the right liberal, democratic, pro-Western government of a united Syria is childishly naive. The U.S. and by implication all the countries currently involved in the Syrian conflict long ago demonstrated that it is better at destroying than building nations.

Will this then be the war to end all wars? I doubt it. In fact, this war is the war that will start numerous others and eventually not only end peace but kill it completely.

Also read: http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/putin-exposes-g20s-financial-ties-isis-during-antalya-summit/ri11199 Russian President Putin accusing G20 members of financing ISIS.